Histon vs Guiseley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.3%
1-0
7%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
48.9%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Histon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
HIS
1 - 1
HYD
30%
25%
45%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
WOR
0 - 0
HIS
45%
25%
30%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2012 |
HIS
5 - 5
DRO
35%
23%
42%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
HIS
3 - 0
EAS
75%
15%
10%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
GLO
0 - 1
HIS
43%
25%
32%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Guiseley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2012 |
GUI
0 - 1
NUN
47%
24%
30%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2012 |
NUN
1 - 1
GUI
36%
25%
39%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
BOS
3 - 3
GUI
23%
25%
52%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
GUI
0 - 1
BIS
65%
20%
15%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
STA
0 - 3
GUI
33%
25%
42%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | +1 |