Histon vs Gloucester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
21.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Histon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2012 |
BOS
6 - 0
HIS
53%
24%
24%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
HIS
1 - 4
GUI
27%
24%
49%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
HIS
1 - 1
HYD
30%
25%
45%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
WOR
0 - 0
HIS
45%
25%
30%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2012 |
HIS
5 - 5
DRO
35%
23%
42%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Gloucester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2012 |
GLO
0 - 1
OXF
39%
26%
36%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
GAI
0 - 1
GLO
65%
20%
15%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2012 |
GLO
0 - 0
BRO
25%
24%
52%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
COL
4 - 2
GLO
49%
24%
26%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
GLO
1 - 2
STA
29%
25%
47%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | -2 |