Histon vs Altrincham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
4%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.3%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
67.8%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.1%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.6%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Histon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
GAI
3 - 1
HIS
72%
17%
11%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
HIS
0 - 3
SOL
29%
25%
46%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
BRA
3 - 0
HIS
68%
19%
13%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
HIS
0 - 0
BAR
24%
24%
53%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
WOR
1 - 1
HIS
63%
22%
15%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Altrincham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
ALT
5 - 1
VAU
75%
16%
10%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2014 |
STO
0 - 0
ALT
27%
22%
51%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2014 |
OXF
1 - 2
ALT
18%
21%
61%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
ALT
1 - 1
NOR
39%
25%
36%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2014 |
WOR
1 - 6
ALT
14%
19%
67%
|
51 | 32 | 19 | 0 |