Histon vs Altrincham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.7%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
16.6%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Histon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2009 |
GRA
0 - 1
HIS
25%
25%
51%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2009 |
EAS
1 - 1
HIS
22%
25%
53%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
HIS
0 - 0
WRE
60%
22%
18%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
RUS
2 - 1
HIS
37%
26%
37%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
MAN
1 - 1
HIS
40%
25%
35%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Altrincham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2009 |
ALT
0 - 1
BAR
52%
24%
24%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2009 |
TAM
0 - 2
ALT
49%
27%
24%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
ALT
2 - 2
FOR
56%
23%
22%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
OXF
1 - 0
ALT
70%
20%
10%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
ALT
0 - 1
LUT
35%
27%
39%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | -1 |