Hiska Nacional vs Chaco Petrolero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.9%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.6%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
46.2%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.9%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hiska Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2023 |
ACA
1 - 0
HIS
30%
22%
49%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
HIS
2 - 0
HUA
75%
14%
10%
|
10 | 5 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
HIS
1 - 1
FAT
4%
10%
86%
|
7 | 45 | 38 | +3 |
Matches
Chaco Petrolero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
ACA
0 - 0
CHA
20%
20%
61%
|
13 | 8 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
CHA
3 - 2
HUA
84%
11%
6%
|
13 | 5 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
CHA
0 - 5
FAT
5%
11%
84%
|
14 | 45 | 31 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
IND
5 - 0
CHA
89%
9%
3%
|
14 | 65 | 51 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2020 |
CHA
0 - 2
IND
6%
14%
81%
|
14 | 65 | 51 | 0 |