Hinckley United vs Vauxhall Motors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.8%
20%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
63.7%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.8%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hinckley United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
OXF
6 - 2
HIN
77%
15%
8%
|
24 | 45 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2013 |
HIN
1 - 3
BRA
14%
19%
67%
|
24 | 50 | 26 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
HIN
0 - 6
CHE
14%
20%
67%
|
24 | 60 | 36 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
HIN
0 - 3
STA
15%
19%
66%
|
26 | 45 | 19 | -2 |
| 01 Jan. 2013 |
HIN
1 - 1
SOL
22%
24%
54%
|
25 | 46 | 21 | +1 |
Matches
Vauxhall Motors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
WOR
2 - 2
VAU
49%
24%
27%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
VAU
2 - 2
BIS
49%
23%
28%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
OXF
1 - 1
VAU
53%
23%
24%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 2013 |
COL
2 - 4
VAU
43%
24%
33%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2012 |
VAU
1 - 1
COL
54%
23%
23%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |