Hinckley United vs Vauxhall Motors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.8%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
24.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hinckley United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2012 |
HIN
1 - 2
SOL
55%
23%
22%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
COL
0 - 5
HIN
46%
24%
31%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | +2 |
| 12 Mar. 2012 |
HIN
1 - 2
BOS
41%
24%
35%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
HIN
4 - 2
WOR
53%
23%
24%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
EAS
0 - 3
HIN
39%
24%
38%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Vauxhall Motors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
VAU
3 - 1
GAI
35%
24%
41%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
TOW
1 - 2
VAU
54%
23%
23%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2012 |
EAS
2 - 4
VAU
47%
24%
29%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
VAU
0 - 2
HYD
24%
24%
52%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
GAI
1 - 1
VAU
64%
20%
16%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | +1 |