Hinckley United vs Harrogate Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
25.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hinckley United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2011 |
HIN
3 - 0
GAI
50%
24%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
GUI
3 - 0
HIN
55%
23%
22%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
WOR
3 - 1
HIN
32%
25%
43%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
HIN
3 - 1
WOR
59%
22%
19%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
SOL
2 - 7
HIN
61%
21%
18%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Harrogate Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2011 |
STA
3 - 2
TOW
65%
20%
16%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
TOW
3 - 2
ALT
44%
26%
31%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
AFC
3 - 0
TOW
64%
21%
16%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
TOW
2 - 0
WOR
44%
26%
31%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
DRO
5 - 1
TOW
59%
21%
20%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -1 |