Hinckley United vs Harrogate Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.3%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
19.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hinckley United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
HIN
2 - 3
VAU
52%
24%
24%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2011 |
HIN
3 - 0
GLO
51%
24%
25%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
HIN
3 - 1
GAI
54%
24%
23%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2011 |
GUI
3 - 2
HIN
60%
23%
18%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
AFC
2 - 2
HIN
57%
23%
20%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Harrogate Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
GAI
1 - 3
TOW
49%
24%
27%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
TOW
0 - 1
COR
28%
24%
48%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | -2 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
SOL
2 - 2
TOW
62%
22%
17%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2011 |
TOW
3 - 2
RFC
55%
23%
22%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
TOW
1 - 2
NUN
21%
24%
56%
|
38 | 56 | 18 | 0 |