Hinckley United vs Guiseley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.8%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.1%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
67.8%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.8%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hinckley United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2012 |
BRA
4 - 0
HIN
77%
14%
9%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
ALT
8 - 0
HIN
78%
14%
9%
|
26 | 45 | 19 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2012 |
HIN
1 - 4
GAI
25%
23%
53%
|
28 | 47 | 19 | -2 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
GAI
1 - 1
HIN
65%
20%
15%
|
27 | 47 | 20 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
HIN
0 - 5
WOR
24%
25%
51%
|
30 | 47 | 17 | -3 |
Matches
Guiseley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
GUI
3 - 1
BRA
53%
22%
25%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2012 |
GUI
3 - 3
WOR
68%
20%
13%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
BOS
1 - 3
GUI
28%
25%
47%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2012 |
BAR
1 - 0
GUI
20%
22%
59%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
GUI
7 - 0
WHI
73%
16%
11%
|
56 | 37 | 19 | 0 |