Hinckley United vs Gloucester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.4%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.7%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
41.1%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hinckley United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
HIN
1 - 3
COL
42%
24%
34%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
COL
3 - 2
HIN
53%
22%
26%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2012 |
HIN
0 - 2
OXF
33%
25%
42%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
WOR
2 - 1
HIN
54%
23%
24%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
VAU
2 - 1
HIN
48%
23%
29%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Gloucester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
BRA
2 - 1
GLO
55%
23%
22%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2012 |
GLO
5 - 1
BIS
26%
24%
51%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | +3 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
DRO
1 - 0
GLO
64%
19%
17%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
HAL
5 - 0
GLO
72%
17%
11%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
GLO
4 - 3
STA
20%
22%
58%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | +2 |