Hinckley United vs Gloucester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.4%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
24.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hinckley United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
HIN
3 - 1
GAI
54%
24%
23%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2011 |
GUI
3 - 2
HIN
60%
23%
18%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
AFC
2 - 2
HIN
57%
23%
20%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2011 |
HIN
2 - 0
HYD
57%
22%
21%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2011 |
BOS
3 - 0
HIN
61%
22%
17%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Gloucester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2011 |
LUT
1 - 0
GLO
79%
13%
8%
|
43 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
VAU
2 - 1
GLO
47%
24%
29%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2011 |
GLO
1 - 1
WOR
52%
24%
24%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
GLO
2 - 0
WOR
40%
26%
34%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +2 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
BOS
0 - 1
GLO
62%
21%
18%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | +2 |