Hinckley United vs Corby Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.5%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
67.4%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.1%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.7%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hinckley United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
HIN
1 - 4
BRA
13%
19%
68%
|
20 | 47 | 27 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2013 |
HIS
2 - 1
HIN
82%
12%
6%
|
20 | 42 | 22 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
HIN
2 - 4
BOS
15%
20%
65%
|
21 | 42 | 21 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
GLO
4 - 1
HIN
74%
16%
10%
|
21 | 41 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2013 |
HAL
7 - 0
HIN
81%
13%
7%
|
21 | 54 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
Corby Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
DRO
2 - 2
COR
22%
21%
57%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2013 |
BRA
2 - 4
COR
72%
17%
11%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | +2 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
COR
1 - 0
WOR
50%
22%
28%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2013 |
VAU
1 - 1
COR
57%
21%
21%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2013 |
COR
2 - 3
SOL
43%
25%
32%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | -1 |