Hinckley United vs Colwyn Bay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.8%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
33.9%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hinckley United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
COL
3 - 2
HIN
53%
22%
26%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2012 |
HIN
0 - 2
OXF
33%
25%
42%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | -2 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
WOR
2 - 1
HIN
54%
23%
24%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
VAU
2 - 1
HIN
48%
23%
29%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
HIN
0 - 2
HAL
24%
23%
54%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Colwyn Bay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
COL
3 - 2
HIN
53%
22%
26%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
COL
1 - 1
BRA
21%
22%
57%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
COR
3 - 1
COL
37%
25%
38%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | -2 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
COL
0 - 2
BOS
44%
24%
32%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | -2 |
| 04 Sep. 2012 |
COL
0 - 2
GUI
22%
24%
55%
|
42 | 57 | 15 | -1 |