Hinckley United vs Colwyn Bay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
38.1%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hinckley United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
HIN
0 - 3
HIS
57%
22%
21%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2011 |
BOS
2 - 0
HIN
62%
21%
18%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
DRO
2 - 3
HIN
64%
19%
17%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
HIN
3 - 2
HAL
19%
22%
59%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
SOL
1 - 2
HIN
48%
24%
28%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Colwyn Bay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
COL
0 - 0
SOL
58%
23%
19%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2011 |
COL
1 - 6
ALT
56%
23%
20%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
GLO
0 - 1
COL
36%
26%
38%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
COL
2 - 1
HIS
66%
20%
14%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
DRO
2 - 1
COL
48%
24%
28%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |