Hinckley United vs Chester analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.6%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.6%
20%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
66.5%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
12.3%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hinckley United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
HIN
0 - 3
STA
15%
19%
66%
|
25 | 44 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2013 |
HIN
1 - 1
SOL
22%
24%
54%
|
23 | 45 | 22 | +2 |
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
CHE
3 - 0
HIN
78%
15%
7%
|
23 | 59 | 36 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2012 |
SOL
1 - 0
HIN
71%
18%
12%
|
24 | 45 | 21 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
TOW
5 - 0
HIN
72%
17%
11%
|
24 | 46 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Chester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2013 |
CHE
2 - 0
OXF
71%
19%
11%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
BRA
0 - 0
CHE
18%
22%
60%
|
59 | 39 | 20 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 2013 |
DRO
3 - 4
CHE
19%
22%
60%
|
59 | 35 | 24 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
CHE
3 - 0
HIN
78%
15%
7%
|
59 | 23 | 36 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2012 |
CHE
5 - 0
DRO
73%
17%
10%
|
58 | 36 | 22 | +1 |