Hinckley United vs Bradford Park Avenue analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.2%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.2%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
67.9%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.5%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hinckley United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2013 |
HIS
2 - 1
HIN
82%
12%
6%
|
21 | 42 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
HIN
2 - 4
BOS
15%
20%
65%
|
22 | 42 | 20 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
GLO
4 - 1
HIN
74%
16%
10%
|
22 | 42 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2013 |
HAL
7 - 0
HIN
81%
13%
7%
|
22 | 54 | 32 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
HIN
0 - 2
GAI
13%
20%
68%
|
22 | 52 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Bradford Park Avenue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2013 |
BRA
1 - 0
TOW
40%
25%
35%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2013 |
HAL
0 - 1
BRA
63%
21%
17%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
BOS
0 - 4
BRA
44%
24%
32%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | +3 |
| 12 Mar. 2013 |
GAI
1 - 1
BRA
60%
21%
19%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2013 |
BRA
1 - 0
WOR
57%
23%
21%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |