Hinckley United vs Brackley Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.5%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
67.1%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.7%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.3%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hinckley United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
HIN
0 - 6
CHE
14%
20%
67%
|
23 | 59 | 36 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
HIN
0 - 3
STA
15%
19%
66%
|
25 | 44 | 19 | -2 |
| 01 Jan. 2013 |
HIN
1 - 1
SOL
22%
24%
54%
|
23 | 45 | 22 | +2 |
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
CHE
3 - 0
HIN
78%
15%
7%
|
23 | 59 | 36 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2012 |
SOL
1 - 0
HIN
71%
18%
12%
|
24 | 45 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Brackley Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
BRA
3 - 1
BRA
64%
19%
17%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
DRO
0 - 3
BRA
26%
23%
51%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 2013 |
OXF
2 - 1
BRA
30%
24%
46%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2012 |
BRA
0 - 0
OXF
62%
21%
18%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
BRA
0 - 1
ALT
60%
20%
20%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | -1 |