Himara vs Besëlidhja Lezhë analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.1%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.9%
23%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Himara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
HIM
1 - 0
GRA
46%
26%
28%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
MAM
1 - 2
HIM
59%
24%
17%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
HIM
1 - 0
POG
27%
25%
48%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
ILI
2 - 1
HIM
55%
23%
21%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
HIM
1 - 1
DIN
31%
26%
43%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Besëlidhja Lezhë
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
BES
2 - 1
ELB
56%
23%
22%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
GRA
2 - 1
BES
43%
29%
28%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
BES
1 - 1
BUT
53%
24%
23%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
MAM
2 - 0
BES
57%
26%
18%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
BES
1 - 0
ADA
58%
23%
20%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | +1 |