Himara vs Apolonia Fier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
39.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Himara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2013 |
HIM
3 - 2
LUS
24%
26%
50%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
POG
2 - 1
HIM
60%
22%
17%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
HIM
1 - 3
MAM
50%
25%
25%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
HIM
1 - 1
DIN
43%
25%
32%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
ALB
0 - 0
HIM
45%
26%
29%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Apolonia Fier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2013 |
TER
0 - 3
APO
36%
27%
37%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
APO
2 - 1
ALB
67%
20%
13%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
VEL
0 - 2
APO
40%
27%
34%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
APO
2 - 1
BUT
61%
23%
17%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
TOM
1 - 1
APO
47%
26%
27%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |