Hillerød vs Fredericia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
44.1%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
3º
5º
5º
45
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
45 | 24 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 19 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 15 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 11 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
41 | 10 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 6 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hillerød
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
HBK
2 - 0
HIL
35%
26%
39%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
HIL
2 - 0
LFA
49%
25%
27%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2023 |
HOB
2 - 1
HIL
41%
27%
32%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
HIL
1 - 0
BFR
50%
24%
26%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2023 |
FCH
0 - 2
HIL
57%
22%
21%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Fredericia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
HOB
0 - 1
FRE
34%
26%
40%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
FRE
6 - 1
HBK
49%
25%
26%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
BFR
1 - 3
FRE
28%
24%
48%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2023 |
FRE
2 - 0
LFA
45%
25%
31%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
FRE
2 - 1
BFR
48%
24%
28%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |