Hillerød vs Fredericia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.8%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
54.8%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
7º
12º
7º
21
5º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 50 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 37 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 32 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 25 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
11º
|
21 | 21 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hillerød
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2022 |
HIL
0 - 2
HBK
33%
26%
40%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
HVI
3 - 1
HIL
68%
20%
12%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2022 |
BFR
1 - 0
HIL
45%
24%
32%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
HIL
1 - 5
SON
18%
24%
58%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2022 |
VEN
5 - 1
HIL
39%
28%
33%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Fredericia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
FRE
0 - 1
VEJ
29%
26%
46%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
FCH
3 - 2
FRE
47%
25%
29%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2022 |
BUI
0 - 8
FRE
3%
8%
89%
|
59 | 7 | 52 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2022 |
FRE
0 - 1
NAE
42%
26%
33%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
LFA
2 - 2
FRE
34%
25%
40%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |