Hillerød vs Aalborg BK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.2%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.1%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
64.6%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20%
0-3
8%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
7º
12º
7º
51
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 49 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 36 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 18 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
14 | 14 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 12 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hillerød
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
HBK
0 - 4
HIL
26%
24%
50%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
HIL
4 - 2
FCH
46%
25%
29%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2024 |
VEN
4 - 4
HIL
40%
27%
33%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
B93
2 - 1
HIL
40%
23%
37%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2024 |
BIF
3 - 3
HIL
78%
14%
8%
|
58 | 79 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Aalborg BK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
AAB
4 - 3
VEN
62%
23%
16%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
FRE
2 - 3
AAB
29%
25%
46%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
AAB
2 - 2
SON
39%
25%
36%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
AAB
2 - 1
HAM
53%
23%
24%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
AAB
3 - 1
KFU
52%
23%
25%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |