Hilden vs Homberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.5%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
35.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hilden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
DUS
1 - 0
HIL
55%
23%
22%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
SWE
0 - 0
HIL
37%
25%
39%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
HIL
0 - 0
RWO
61%
20%
19%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
SCH
0 - 0
HIL
46%
21%
32%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
HIL
3 - 1
KFC
32%
24%
43%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Homberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
VFB
4 - 0
DUS
48%
22%
31%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
VFB
4 - 3
FSV
46%
22%
32%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | +2 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
FCV
0 - 2
VFB
14%
18%
68%
|
27 | 15 | 12 | -2 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
VFB
4 - 3
VIG
83%
11%
6%
|
27 | 14 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
VSA
1 - 5
VFB
11%
17%
72%
|
27 | 14 | 13 | 0 |