Hilden vs Homberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.2%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
42.6%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hilden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2014 |
WES
2 - 4
HIL
11%
17%
72%
|
27 | 9 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
HIL
4 - 2
SPE
68%
18%
14%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
RHE
1 - 0
HIL
36%
23%
41%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
HIL
3 - 1
DUS
31%
23%
46%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | +2 |
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
WUP
0 - 0
HIL
78%
13%
9%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Homberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2014 |
VFB
0 - 2
SWE
55%
23%
22%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
KAP
0 - 0
VFB
39%
23%
37%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2014 |
VFB
2 - 2
MSV
44%
25%
32%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
ESS
2 - 4
VFB
40%
24%
36%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
SFB
1 - 1
VFB
33%
23%
44%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |