Hilden vs Sonsbeck analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.3%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
14.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
1º
7º
3º
3
9º
18º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
10 | 75 |
1º
|
62.5% | |
|
9º
|
5 | 62 |
2º
|
21% | |
|
|
5º
|
7 | 61 |
3º
|
11% | |
|
4º
|
9 | 60 |
4º
|
9.5% | |
|
2º
|
12 | 57 |
5º
|
7.5% | |
|
1º
|
12 | 55 |
6º
|
10.5% | |
|
17º
|
1 | 55 |
7º
|
9% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 53 |
8º
|
7% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 46 |
9º
|
7% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 45 |
10º
|
14.5% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 45 |
11º
|
8.5% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 43 |
12º
|
5.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
3 | 42 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 37 |
14º
|
8.5% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 33 |
15º
|
15.5% | |
|
13º
|
3 | 33 |
16º
|
16% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 30 |
17º
|
15.5% | |
|
18º
|
1 | 24 |
18º
|
43.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
15.5% | 1% |
|
Mid-table
|
84.5% | 87% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 12% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hilden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
SFB
1 - 4
HIL
54%
22%
25%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
HIL
1 - 0
H05
62%
20%
19%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
HIL
1 - 1
VFL
34%
23%
43%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
HIL
5 - 3
SSC
77%
14%
9%
|
45 | 9 | 36 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
HIL
1 - 0
SPR
77%
15%
8%
|
45 | 25 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Sonsbeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
SON
0 - 4
VEL
32%
24%
44%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
RWA
5 - 0
SON
37%
23%
40%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2024 |
SON
1 - 7
MSV
10%
16%
74%
|
40 | 59 | 19 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
SON
2 - 0
NET
41%
24%
34%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
HIL
4 - 3
SON
63%
21%
17%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | 0 |