Hilden vs MSV Duisburg II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
6%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.9%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
46.3%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hilden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
ESS
2 - 1
HIL
50%
22%
28%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
HIL
8 - 1
WES
82%
12%
6%
|
28 | 14 | 14 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
VFB
4 - 2
HIL
42%
23%
35%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
SPE
0 - 6
HIL
33%
23%
45%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
HIL
3 - 0
RHE
57%
21%
23%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
MSV Duisburg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
MSV
2 - 0
SWE
67%
18%
14%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
MSV
2 - 2
KAP
69%
17%
14%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
SFB
1 - 2
MSV
21%
22%
57%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
ESS
2 - 3
MSV
44%
23%
33%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
MSV
4 - 0
VFB
65%
19%
16%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | +1 |