Hilden vs Kapellen-Erft analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.8%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
24.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hilden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
MSV
3 - 0
HIL
65%
19%
16%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
HIL
4 - 1
ESS
21%
22%
57%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | +4 |
Matches
Kapellen-Erft
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
KAP
0 - 2
SWE
41%
24%
35%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
SFB
0 - 3
KAP
47%
24%
29%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
BOS
5 - 3
KAP
28%
24%
49%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | -2 |
| 23 May. 2013 |
DUS
2 - 0
KAP
55%
22%
22%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | -2 |
| 20 May. 2013 |
KAP
2 - 2
KFC
21%
23%
56%
|
28 | 45 | 17 | +2 |