Hilden vs Union Frintrop analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.5%
Win probability
3.04
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.5%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.2%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.7%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.2%
10.9%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.9%
5.6%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+48%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
3º
12º
4º
33
7º
17º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 64 |
2º
|
57.5% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 63 |
3º
|
57.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
55 | 58 |
4º
|
57.5% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 55 |
5º
|
22.5% | |
|
5º
|
54 | 54 |
6º
|
48.5% | |
|
15º
|
34 | 53 |
7º
|
4.5% | |
|
7º
|
52 | 53 |
8º
|
23.5% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 45 |
9º
|
71.5% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 43 |
10º
|
38% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 42 |
11º
|
36% | |
|
11º
|
41 | 42 |
12º
|
55.5% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 38 |
13º
|
27% | |
|
13º
|
37 | 38 |
14º
|
21% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 36 |
15º
|
35% | |
|
16º
|
34 | 35 |
16º
|
52.5% | |
|
|
17º
|
33 | 34 |
17º
|
81.5% | |
|
18º
|
29 | 29 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 4% |
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 96% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hilden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
HIL
3 - 1
MEE
68%
19%
13%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
SON
2 - 0
HIL
17%
21%
62%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
HIL
2 - 2
NET
69%
19%
12%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
HIL
0 - 1
SFB
51%
23%
26%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
STR
0 - 1
HIL
16%
21%
63%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Union Frintrop
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2023 |
STR
3 - 0
DJK
77%
14%
9%
|
17 | 38 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
DJK
1 - 1
KLE
14%
17%
69%
|
16 | 31 | 15 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
TDV
2 - 0
DJK
84%
11%
6%
|
16 | 44 | 28 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
DJK
0 - 0
TEU
19%
20%
61%
|
15 | 27 | 12 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
HAM
1 - 1
DJK
82%
12%
7%
|
14 | 31 | 17 | +1 |