Hilal Maroc Bergheim vs SF Troisdorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.8%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
20.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hilal Maroc Bergheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
ALT
0 - 3
HIL
58%
21%
21%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
HIL
2 - 4
HEW
76%
15%
10%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
BFR
0 - 1
HIL
69%
18%
13%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
HIL
0 - 3
VIA
47%
23%
30%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
WEG
2 - 0
HIL
66%
18%
16%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
SF Troisdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
TRO
0 - 3
AAA
18%
22%
61%
|
16 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
WES
1 - 3
TRO
24%
23%
53%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
TRO
3 - 2
HUR
22%
23%
55%
|
15 | 23 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
KOW
1 - 1
TRO
44%
24%
33%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
TRO
2 - 0
GER
63%
20%
18%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | +1 |