Hilal Maroc Bergheim vs SW Nierfeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.5%
10.4%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hilal Maroc Bergheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
AAA
0 - 3
HIL
74%
15%
11%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
HIL
2 - 3
MER
72%
16%
11%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
BFR
2 - 1
HIL
67%
18%
15%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
HIL
0 - 2
H05
20%
21%
60%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
VIA
1 - 0
HIL
59%
21%
21%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
SW Nierfeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
NIE
4 - 0
SCB
12%
19%
69%
|
9 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
ALT
2 - 1
NIE
83%
12%
6%
|
9 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
NIE
1 - 4
BSC
9%
19%
72%
|
9 | 49 | 40 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
WEG
5 - 0
NIE
86%
10%
5%
|
10 | 23 | 13 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
NIE
1 - 3
GEW
10%
17%
73%
|
10 | 33 | 23 | 0 |