Hilal Maroc Bergheim vs SSV Merten analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.5%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
30.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hilal Maroc Bergheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2018 |
HIL
4 - 1
PES
59%
19%
21%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
VFL
4 - 2
HIL
63%
19%
19%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2018 |
HIL
0 - 4
HER
15%
17%
68%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2018 |
HIL
2 - 1
H05
15%
19%
66%
|
16 | 30 | 14 | +2 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
ALT
3 - 3
HIL
63%
20%
17%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
SSV Merten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2018 |
WES
4 - 1
MER
43%
23%
34%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
MER
1 - 1
BWF
26%
22%
53%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2018 |
HUR
6 - 1
MER
64%
20%
16%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2018 |
ALT
1 - 0
MER
53%
22%
25%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
MER
0 - 5
SIE
51%
21%
28%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | -1 |