Hilal Maroc Bergheim vs Köln-Worringen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.4%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.9%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.6%
7.9%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hilal Maroc Bergheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
HIL
3 - 0
WEG
31%
23%
46%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
H05
1 - 1
HIL
62%
20%
18%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
HIL
2 - 2
SCB
43%
24%
33%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
GER
1 - 3
HIL
26%
23%
51%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
HIL
1 - 1
EUR
28%
23%
49%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Köln-Worringen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
TRO
2 - 2
KOW
74%
16%
10%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2013 |
KOW
2 - 3
H05
14%
20%
66%
|
12 | 24 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
HEW
5 - 0
KOW
51%
23%
26%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
KOW
0 - 2
AAA
15%
20%
65%
|
13 | 30 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
WES
3 - 0
KOW
36%
24%
40%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | -1 |