Hilal Maroc Bergheim vs Germania Erftstadt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.9%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
14.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hilal Maroc Bergheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2013 |
HEW
2 - 4
HIL
35%
24%
41%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
EUR
4 - 0
HIL
61%
20%
19%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
HIL
1 - 1
GEW
19%
21%
60%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2013 |
HIL
0 - 0
AAA
30%
24%
46%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
TRO
2 - 3
HIL
40%
24%
37%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Germania Erftstadt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2013 |
GER
2 - 1
AAA
20%
23%
57%
|
14 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
WES
3 - 1
GER
47%
23%
30%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2013 |
BFR
5 - 1
GER
70%
18%
13%
|
15 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
GER
2 - 1
HUR
32%
23%
45%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
KOW
2 - 3
GER
48%
23%
29%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | +1 |