Hilal Maroc Bergheim vs FC BW Friesdorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.9%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.6%
25.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hilal Maroc Bergheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
HIL
4 - 0
VLR
56%
20%
24%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
IHN
6 - 4
HIL
72%
16%
12%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
HIL
1 - 4
HUR
30%
21%
49%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
WES
2 - 1
HIL
51%
21%
28%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
HIL
4 - 2
GEW
66%
17%
16%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
FC BW Friesdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
VLR
0 - 4
BWF
42%
23%
35%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
BWF
1 - 0
HUR
15%
18%
68%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
GEW
3 - 1
BWF
48%
22%
30%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
BWF
1 - 3
BFR
29%
23%
48%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
SIE
0 - 1
BWF
63%
19%
18%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |