Hilal Bergheim vs Germania Erftstadt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.5%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
6%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.9%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.4%
10.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hilal Bergheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
DUR
2 - 5
HBE
34%
23%
43%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
HBE
1 - 0
SVR
83%
11%
6%
|
32 | 17 | 15 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
SFD
0 - 2
HBE
9%
15%
76%
|
32 | 10 | 22 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
ALE
0 - 1
HBE
14%
18%
68%
|
32 | 16 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
HEW
2 - 3
HBE
20%
20%
60%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Germania Erftstadt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
GER
3 - 1
BGP
42%
22%
35%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
ALE
1 - 0
GER
23%
21%
57%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
GER
0 - 2
SCB
46%
24%
30%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
NIE
3 - 3
GER
27%
22%
51%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
GER
0 - 1
IHN
36%
22%
42%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | +1 |