HIFK vs Ilves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
7%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
53.4%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HIFK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
OUL
4 - 1
HIF
56%
25%
19%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
HIF
1 - 6
OUL
31%
26%
43%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2022 |
HJK
2 - 1
HIF
76%
17%
7%
|
55 | 77 | 22 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
HIF
2 - 3
INT
18%
21%
60%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
VAA
1 - 1
HIF
60%
23%
17%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Ilves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
ILV
2 - 3
VAA
43%
25%
32%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
ILV
1 - 1
INT
30%
26%
44%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
KUO
0 - 0
ILV
62%
22%
16%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
ILV
2 - 3
HAK
36%
26%
38%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
IFK
1 - 5
ILV
34%
26%
40%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |