Hidalgo FC vs Industriales Naucalpan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.7%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.1%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.6%
73.7%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.8%
0-3
10%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15%
0-4
5.9%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.1%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+175%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
3º
6º
6º
7
3º
6º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
19 | 22 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
14 | 20 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
11 | 15 |
3º
|
54.5% | |
|
3º
|
14 | 14 |
4º
|
54.5% | |
|
4º
|
11 | 11 |
5º
|
18% | |
|
|
5º
|
11 | 11 |
6º
|
74% | |
|
|
7º
|
7 | 11 |
7º
|
42.5% | |
|
10º
|
0 | 4 |
8º
|
51% | |
|
8º
|
0 | 3 |
9º
|
48% | |
|
9º
|
0 | 0 |
10º
|
82% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hidalgo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
TOM
3 - 3
HFC
43%
22%
35%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
FCA
0 - 4
HFC
47%
21%
31%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Industriales Naucalpan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
IDN
5 - 1
FCA
83%
12%
6%
|
49 | 5 | 44 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
NEZ
2 - 0
IDN
45%
23%
32%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2022 |
IDN
3 - 0
IDA
86%
11%
4%
|
49 | 27 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2022 |
IDN
0 - 6
NEZ
45%
25%
30%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2022 |
HAQ
11 - 1
IDN
32%
23%
45%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |