Hibernians vs Mosta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.4%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
23.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
2º
10º
6º
46
4º
10º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
46 | 46 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 15 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 14 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hibernians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2023 |
HIB
3 - 1
ZUR
82%
13%
6%
|
70 | 50 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
HAM
1 - 0
HIB
38%
27%
35%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
HIB
0 - 4
VAL
53%
25%
23%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2022 |
HIB
1 - 0
FLO
46%
27%
27%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2022 |
HIB
0 - 0
FLO
49%
24%
27%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Mosta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
MEL
0 - 3
MOS
15%
19%
66%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
MOS
2 - 1
MAR
64%
21%
15%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2022 |
GUD
2 - 1
MOS
26%
25%
50%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
SLU
1 - 2
MOS
21%
23%
57%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
MOS
2 - 0
ZEB
64%
20%
16%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | +1 |