Hibernians vs Marsaxlokk FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.8%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
10.1%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hibernians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
HIB
3 - 2
SLU
75%
17%
8%
|
70 | 50 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2023 |
HIB
8 - 0
KER
87%
10%
3%
|
71 | 44 | 27 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
ZEB
0 - 2
HIB
12%
21%
67%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
HIB
1 - 2
BAL
61%
23%
17%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
GZI
2 - 0
HIB
44%
25%
31%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Marsaxlokk FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 1
GUD
43%
26%
31%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2023 |
SLU
0 - 2
MAR
35%
26%
40%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
SLU
0 - 1
MAR
40%
26%
34%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 1
ZEB
57%
22%
21%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
BAL
0 - 0
MAR
57%
24%
19%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |