UEFA Intertoto Cup Quarter-finals
Global 0-3
Hibernians vs ND Gorica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.1%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.9%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
57.9%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hibernians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2008 |
MQA
1 - 1
HIB
25%
24%
51%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2008 |
HIB
2 - 1
PIE
69%
19%
12%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2008 |
MSI
3 - 1
HIB
36%
26%
39%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
HIB
1 - 2
VAL
28%
23%
50%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | -2 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
HIB
4 - 2
MQA
75%
16%
9%
|
58 | 41 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
ND Gorica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2008 |
GOR
6 - 1
IVA
80%
14%
6%
|
76 | 52 | 24 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2008 |
FCK
4 - 3
GOR
46%
25%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2008 |
NKN
1 - 2
GOR
33%
27%
40%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2008 |
GOR
1 - 0
NKD
59%
22%
19%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2008 |
CEL
4 - 2
GOR
43%
26%
31%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |