Hibernians vs Folgore analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
22.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hibernians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2021 |
FOL
1 - 3
HIB
32%
24%
44%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2021 |
HIB
0 - 3
FLO
26%
22%
52%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2021 |
FLO
2 - 0
HIB
59%
21%
20%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 2021 |
GZI
3 - 0
HIB
41%
23%
36%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2021 |
BIR
3 - 1
HIB
43%
24%
34%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2021 |
FOL
1 - 3
HIB
32%
24%
44%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2021 |
FOL
0 - 2
PRI
36%
27%
37%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2021 |
FIO
0 - 1
FOL
58%
23%
20%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2021 |
FOL
3 - 1
LIB
58%
24%
18%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2021 |
FOL
1 - 1
MUR
67%
21%
13%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | 0 |