Inter-Cities Fairs Cup 1/16
Global 3-2
Hibernian FC vs Vitória Guimarães analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.3%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.4%
15.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hibernian FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1970 |
MHE
4 - 0
HIB
36%
25%
39%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1970 |
HIB
3 - 3
STM
74%
16%
10%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1970 |
MFF
2 - 3
HIB
53%
23%
24%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1970 |
ABE
3 - 0
HIB
49%
24%
26%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1970 |
GLA
3 - 1
HIB
57%
21%
22%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1970 |
VIT
0 - 0
SLB
26%
27%
47%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1970 |
ANG
3 - 1
VIT
47%
21%
32%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 1970 |
FCB
1 - 1
VIT
39%
27%
34%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1970 |
VIT
0 - 0
TIR
81%
13%
6%
|
75 | 55 | 20 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 1970 |
VIT
3 - 0
ANG
66%
17%
17%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | +1 |