Hibernian FC vs St. Johnstone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.6%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
12.5%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
5
6º
11º
7º
3
5º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
15 | 71 |
1º
|
69% | |
|
3º
|
10 | 61 |
2º
|
34% | |
|
2º
|
15 | 61 |
3º
|
31.5% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 46 |
4º
|
20% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 45 |
5º
|
15.5% | |
|
4º
|
8 | 45 |
6º
|
9% | |
|
|
8º
|
5 | 45 |
7º
|
12.5% | |
|
12º
|
1 | 44 |
8º
|
11.5% | |
|
7º
|
5 | 36 |
9º
|
19% | |
|
11º
|
2 | 36 |
10º
|
16% | |
|
9º
|
5 | 36 |
11º
|
22.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
3 | 24 |
12º
|
73.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
47.5% | 1% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
52.5% | 99% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hibernian FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
KIL
1 - 1
HIB
41%
26%
33%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
HIB
2 - 2
DUN
48%
24%
27%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
CEL
3 - 1
HIB
63%
19%
18%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
HIB
0 - 2
CEL
33%
24%
43%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
STM
3 - 0
HIB
33%
27%
41%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
St. Johnstone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
STJ
1 - 2
MHE
26%
27%
47%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
DUN
2 - 0
STJ
64%
22%
15%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
GLA
2 - 0
STJ
76%
15%
9%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
KIL
0 - 3
STJ
65%
21%
14%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | +2 |
| 05 Aug. 2024 |
STJ
1 - 2
ABE
19%
25%
56%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |