Hibernian FC vs Motherwell analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.3%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
18.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
5º
12º
7º
37
2º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
75 | 75 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
18 | 18 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hibernian FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 2023 |
HIB
0 - 1
HOM
48%
25%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
STJ
1 - 0
HIB
19%
25%
56%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
LIV
0 - 1
HIB
21%
26%
54%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2023 |
CEL
4 - 1
HIB
62%
20%
18%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
HIB
2 - 0
ABE
48%
25%
28%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Motherwell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 2023 |
MHE
3 - 1
LIV
57%
23%
20%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 2023 |
MHE
0 - 2
GLA
27%
24%
49%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
STM
0 - 0
MHE
45%
28%
27%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
MHE
1 - 1
STJ
61%
22%
17%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2023 |
ROS
3 - 0
MHE
41%
27%
32%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | -1 |