Hibernian FC vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.6%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
24.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hibernian FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2009 |
HOM
0 - 0
HIB
55%
25%
20%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2008 |
HIB
2 - 4
KIL
59%
23%
18%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
GLA
1 - 0
HIB
60%
22%
18%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
HIB
2 - 0
HAM
63%
21%
16%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
HIB
2 - 0
CEL
34%
25%
41%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2009 |
MHE
1 - 0
HOM
41%
27%
32%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2009 |
HOM
0 - 0
HIB
55%
25%
20%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2008 |
ABE
1 - 0
HOM
43%
28%
29%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
HOM
0 - 0
DUN
52%
25%
23%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
CEL
1 - 1
HOM
55%
25%
21%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |