Scottish Premiership Promotion Final
Global 2-2
Hibernian FC vs Hamilton Academical analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.9%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
25.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hibernian FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2014 |
HAM
0 - 2
HIB
57%
23%
20%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
HIB
0 - 1
KIL
46%
25%
29%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2014 |
ROS
1 - 0
HIB
54%
24%
22%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
HIB
1 - 1
PAR
46%
26%
28%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
HIB
1 - 2
HOM
47%
26%
27%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Hamilton Academical
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2014 |
HAM
0 - 2
HIB
57%
23%
20%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
HAM
1 - 0
FAL
49%
24%
27%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2014 |
FAL
1 - 1
HAM
50%
24%
26%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
HAM
10 - 2
GRE
69%
19%
12%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
DUM
4 - 1
HAM
41%
26%
33%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | -1 |