Cup Winners Cup Quarter-finals
Global 4-5
Hibernian FC vs HNK Hajduk Split analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.1%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
12.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hibernian FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 1973 |
HIB
5 - 0
DUM
82%
12%
6%
|
81 | 61 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1973 |
STJ
1 - 3
HIB
54%
23%
23%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1973 |
AIR
0 - 4
HIB
41%
25%
34%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1973 |
HIB
1 - 1
DUN
57%
22%
21%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1973 |
DUN
1 - 0
HIB
61%
20%
19%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
HNK Hajduk Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 1972 |
HKS
2 - 0
WRE
81%
12%
7%
|
78 | 56 | 22 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1972 |
WRE
3 - 1
HKS
26%
21%
53%
|
78 | 54 | 24 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1972 |
FFK
0 - 1
HKS
55%
22%
23%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1972 |
HKS
1 - 0
FFK
62%
21%
18%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1971 |
HKS
1 - 1
VCF
45%
26%
29%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | +1 |