Hibernian FC vs Gretna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
18%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
11%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hibernian FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
DUN
1 - 1
HIB
42%
27%
32%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2008 |
HIB
0 - 0
GLA
45%
24%
31%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2008 |
HOM
1 - 0
HIB
56%
23%
21%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2008 |
HIB
3 - 0
ICT
59%
22%
19%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2008 |
STM
2 - 1
HIB
27%
28%
45%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Gretna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
HOM
2 - 0
GRE
68%
19%
13%
|
62 | 82 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2008 |
GRE
0 - 3
GRE
64%
20%
17%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -2 |
| 19 Jan. 2008 |
GRE
2 - 0
FAL
35%
25%
40%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2008 |
GRE
1 - 2
GLA
28%
26%
46%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2008 |
GRE
2 - 2
GRE
40%
23%
37%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |