UEFA Intertoto Cup Semi-finals
Global 8-0
Hibernian FC vs Dinaburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.1%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.2%
9.8%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hibernian FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2006 |
KIL
3 - 1
HIB
47%
24%
28%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2006 |
HIB
1 - 2
GLA
45%
25%
30%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2006 |
ABE
4 - 0
HIB
41%
27%
32%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2006 |
HIB
2 - 1
HOM
46%
25%
29%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2006 |
CEL
1 - 1
HIB
62%
20%
18%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Dinaburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2006 |
DIN
1 - 2
LIE
21%
23%
56%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2006 |
HBT
0 - 1
DIN
65%
19%
16%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 2006 |
DIN
1 - 1
HBT
28%
24%
49%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2006 |
DIN
1 - 3
FCD
57%
25%
18%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2006 |
FKJ
0 - 5
DIN
27%
24%
49%
|
62 | 43 | 19 | 0 |